UFC Fight Night 254 predictions: Who has edge in Marvin Vettori-Roman Dolidze rematch?

The UFC wraps up a three-week homestand this week with a former middleweight title challenger in the headlining spot.

UFC Fight Night 254 (pay-per-view, ESPNews/Disney+, ESPN+) takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Get pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Seungwoo Choi vs. Kevin Vallejos

Records: Choi (11-7 MMA, 4-6 UFC), Vallejos (14-1 MMA, 0-0 UFC)
Past five: Choi 1-4, Vallejos 4-1
Division: Featherweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.14.25): Choi +320, Vallejos -410
Junkie pick results: Vallejos 11, Choi 0

Seungwoo Choi vs. Kevin Vallejos

Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Brendson Ribeiro

Records: Nurgozhay (10-0 MMA, 0-0 UFC), Ribeiro (16-7 MMA, 1-2 UFC)
Past five: Nurgozhay 5-0, Ribeiro 3-2
Division: Light heavyweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.14.25): Nurgozhay -290, Ribeiro +235
Junkie pick results: Nurgozhay 11, Ribeiro 0

Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Brendson Ribeiro

Da’Mon Blackshear vs. Cody Gibson

Records: Blackshear (15-7-1 MMA, 3-3-1 UFC), Gibson (22-10 MMA, 3-5 UFC)
Past five: Blackshear 3-2, Gibson 3-2
Division: Bantamweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.14.25): Blackshear -360, Gibson +285
Junkie pick results: Blackshear 9, Gibson 2

Da’Mon Blackshear vs. Cody Gibson

Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaugh

Records: Hernandez (15-8 MMA, 7-7 UFC), Holobaugh (22-8 MMA, 2-5 UFC)
Past five: Hernandez 2-3, Holobaugh 4-1
Division: Lightweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.14.25): Hernandez -205, Holobaugh +170
Junkie pick results: Hernandez 10, Holobaugh 1

Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaugh

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs. Chidi Njokuani

Records: Zaleski dos Santos (25-8-1 MMA, 11-4-1 UFC), Njokuani (24-10 MMA, 4-3 UFC)
Past five: Zaleski dos Santos 3-1-1, Njokuani 2-3
Division: Welterweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.14.25): Zaleski dos Santos -175, Njokuani +145
Junkie pick results: Zaleski dos Santos 9, Njokuani 2

Chidi Njokuani vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze

Records: Vettori (19-7-1 MMA, 9-5-1 UFC), Dolidze (14-3 MMA, 8-3 UFC)
Past five: Vettori 2-3, Dolidze 3-2
Division: Middleweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.14.25): Vettori -140, Dolidze +120
Junkie pick results: Dolidze 8, Vettori 3

Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze

Preliminary card picks

Although they don’t count toward the standings, MMA Junkie staff members still pick the fights on the prelims. Here are the results:

  • Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Ryan Spann: Cortes-Acosta 8, Spann 3
  • A.J. Cunningham vs. Su Young You: You 11, Cunningham 0
  • Josias Musasa vs. Carlos Vera: Musasa 11, Vera 0
  • Sam Hughes vs. Stephanie Luciano: Luciano 10, Hughes 1
  • Daniel Barez vs. Andre Lima: Lima 10, Barez 1
  • Priscila Cachoeira vs. Josiane Nunes: Nunes 7, Cachoeira 4
  • Yuneisy Duben vs. Carli Judice: Duben 9, Judice 2

Yuneisy Duben vs. Carli Judice

Check out all the main card picks below.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

Vettori
vs.
Dolidze
Njokuani
vs.
Zaleski dos Santos
Hernandez
vs.
Holobaugh
Blackshear
vs.
Gibson
Nurgozhay
vs.
Ribeiro
Choi
vs.
Vallejos
MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
24-16

Vettori
(52%)

Zaleski dos Santos
(65%)

Hernandez
(54%)

Blackshear
(80%)

Nurgozhay
(77%)

Vallejos
(80%)
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
29-11
2024 Champion

Dolidze

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Nolan King
@mma_kings
27-13
2023 Champion

Vettori

Zaleski dos Santos

Holobaugh

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
25-15
2017 Champion

Vettori

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohn
23-17
2014 Champion

Dolidze

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Gibson

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Ken Hathaway
@1khathaway
23-17
2017, 2022, 2024 Champion

Dolidze

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
22-18

Dolidze

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
22-18

Dolidze

Njokuani

Hernandez

Gibson

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Matt Erickson
@MattE
22-18

Dolidze

Njokuani

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
21-19

Vettori

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Simon Samano
@SJSamano
21-19

Dolidze

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos
Matthew Wells
@MrMWells
18-22

Dolidze

Zaleski dos Santos

Hernandez

Blackshear

Nurgozhay

Vallejos

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC Fight Night 254.

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