UFC Fight Night 254 predictions: Who has edge in Marvin Vettori-Roman Dolidze rematch?

03/15/2025 09:00 AM

The UFC wraps up a three-week homestand this week with a former middleweight title challenger in the headlining spot.

UFC Fight Night 254 (pay-per-view, ESPNews/Disney+, ESPN+) takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

Get pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Seungwoo Choi vs. Kevin Vallejos

Records: Choi (11-7 MMA, 4-6 UFC), Vallejos (14-1 MMA, 0-0 UFC)
Past five: Choi 1-4, Vallejos 4-1
Division: Featherweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.14.25): Choi +320, Vallejos -410
Junkie pick results: Vallejos 11, Choi 0

Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Brendson Ribeiro

Records: Nurgozhay (10-0 MMA, 0-0 UFC), Ribeiro (16-7 MMA, 1-2 UFC)
Past five: Nurgozhay 5-0, Ribeiro 3-2
Division: Light heavyweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.14.25): Nurgozhay -290, Ribeiro +235
Junkie pick results: Nurgozhay 11, Ribeiro 0

Da’Mon Blackshear vs. Cody Gibson

Records: Blackshear (15-7-1 MMA, 3-3-1 UFC), Gibson (22-10 MMA, 3-5 UFC)
Past five: Blackshear 3-2, Gibson 3-2
Division: Bantamweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.14.25): Blackshear -360, Gibson +285
Junkie pick results: Blackshear 9, Gibson 2

Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaugh

Records: Hernandez (15-8 MMA, 7-7 UFC), Holobaugh (22-8 MMA, 2-5 UFC)
Past five: Hernandez 2-3, Holobaugh 4-1
Division: Lightweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.14.25): Hernandez -205, Holobaugh +170
Junkie pick results: Hernandez 10, Holobaugh 1

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs. Chidi Njokuani

Records: Zaleski dos Santos (25-8-1 MMA, 11-4-1 UFC), Njokuani (24-10 MMA, 4-3 UFC)
Past five: Zaleski dos Santos 3-1-1, Njokuani 2-3
Division: Welterweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.14.25): Zaleski dos Santos -175, Njokuani +145
Junkie pick results: Zaleski dos Santos 9, Njokuani 2

Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze

Records: Vettori (19-7-1 MMA, 9-5-1 UFC), Dolidze (14-3 MMA, 8-3 UFC)
Past five: Vettori 2-3, Dolidze 3-2
Division: Middleweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 03.14.25): Vettori -140, Dolidze +120
Junkie pick results: Dolidze 8, Vettori 3

Preliminary card picks

Although they don’t count toward the standings, MMA Junkie staff members still pick the fights on the prelims. Here are the results:

• Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Ryan Spann: Cortes-Acosta 8, Spann 3
• A.J. Cunningham vs. Su Young You: You 11, Cunningham 0
• Josias Musasa vs. Carlos Vera: Musasa 11, Vera 0
• Sam Hughes vs. Stephanie Luciano: Luciano 10, Hughes 1
• Daniel Barez vs. Andre Lima: Lima 10, Barez 1
• Priscila Cachoeira vs. Josiane Nunes: Nunes 7, Cachoeira 4
• Yuneisy Duben vs. Carli Judice: Duben 9, Judice 2

Check out all the main card picks below.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC Fight Night 254.